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Best Ideas This Week

These companies are estimated to have a very nice one year total return on investment.

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Best Ideas 25 March 2018

3/23/2018

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When the averages head south, as they have this past week, I tend to put any funds that become available into income producing stocks. My favorites are Gladstone Investment Corp, AGNC Investment Corp, and Prospect Capital. All three pay monthly dividends so they work well for investors who have a need for monthly income. 
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Gladstone Investment Corporation is a business development company specializing in buyouts; recapitalizations; refinancing existing debt; senior debt securities such as senior loans, senior term loans, lines of credit, and senior notes; senior subordinated debt securities such as senior subordinated loans and senior subordinated notes; junior subordinated debt securities such as subordinated notes and mezzanine loans; limited liability company interests, and warrants or options. The fund does not invest in start-ups. It seeks to invest in small and mid-sized companies based in the United States. The fund prefers to make debt investments between $5 million and $30 million and equity investments between $10 million and $40 million in companies. The fund seeks to invest in companies with sales between $20 million and $100 million. It seeks minority equity ownership and prefers to hold a board seat in its portfolio companies. It also prefers to take majority stake in its portfolio companies. The fund typically holds its investments for seven years and exits via sale or recapitalization, initial public offering, or sale to third party.
​(Summary)


AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It funds its investments primarily through short-term borrowings structured as repurchase agreements. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes, if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
​(Summary)
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Prospect Capital Corporation is a business development company. It specializes in middle market, mature, mezzanine finance, later stage, emerging growth, buyouts, recapitalizations, turnaround, growth capital, development, subordinated debt tranches of collateralized loan obligations, cash flow term loans, and bridge transactions. It also makes real estate investments particularly in multi-family residential real estate asset class. The fund makes secured debt, senior debt, unitranche debt, first-lien and second lien, private debt, mezzanine debt, and equity investments in private and microcap public businesses. It focuses on both primary origination and secondary loans/portfolios and invests in situations like debt financings for private equity sponsors, acquisitions, dividend recapitalizations, growth financings, bridge loans, cash flow term loans, real estate financings/investments. The fund typically invests across all industry sectors, with a particular expertise in the energy and industrial sectors. It invests in aerospace and defense, chemicals, conglomerate services, consumer services, ecological, electronics, financial services, machinery, manufacturing, media, pharmaceuticals, retail, software, specialty minerals, textiles and leather, transportation, oil and gas production, coal production, materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, information technology, utilities, pipeline, storage, power generation and distribution, renewable and clean energy, oilfield services, healthcare, food and beverage, education, business services, and other select sectors. It prefers to invest in the United States and Canada. The fund seeks to invest between $10 million to $500 million per transaction in companies with EBITDA between $5 million and $250 million, sales value between $25 million and $500 million, and enterprise value between $5 million and $1000 million. It fund also co-invests for larger deals. The fund seeks control acquisitions by providing multiple levels of the capital structure. The fund focuses on sole, agented, club, or syndicated deals.
(Summary)

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Best Ideas 18 March 2018

3/18/2018

1 Comment

 
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Here's a couple of stock ideas I'm looking at for next week. These are companies I'll consider investing in with any funds that become available in my accounts. I believe each of these has a greater potential return than analysts currently expect. 

​As with all of my investments, I'll start with a small position and then add to that position over time through dividend reinvestment, the sale of stock options and direct purchases on the open market.
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Allegheny Technologies Incorporated manufactures and sells specialty materials and components worldwide. The company operates through two segments, High Performance Materials & Components, and Flat-Rolled Products. The High Performance Materials & Components segment produces, converts, and distributes a range of high performance materials, including titanium and titanium-based alloys; nickel-and cobalt-based alloys and superalloys; zirconium and related alloys, such as hafnium and niobium; powder alloys; and other specialty materials in long product forms of ingots, billets, bars, rods, wires, and shapes and rectangles, as well as seamless tubes, plus precision forgings, castings, components, and machined parts. This segment serves aerospace and defense, medical, oil and gas, and electrical energy markets. The Flat-Rolled Products segment provides stainless steel, nickel-based alloys, specialty alloys, and titanium and titanium-based alloys in various product forms, including plate, sheet, engineered strip, and Precision Rolled Strip products. This segment serves various markets, such as chemical and hydrocarbon processing, automotive, aerospace and defense, food processing equipment and appliances, construction and mining, electronics, communication equipment, and computers. Allegheny Technologies Incorporated was founded in 1960 and is based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
​(Summary) (Company) (Chart)
18 March 2018
Price $27.08
1yr Target $33.00
Analysts 8
Dividend $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.00%

1yr Cap Gain 21.86%
Yield 0.00%
1yr Tot Return 21.86%

P/E ---
PEG ---
Beta 2.40


EPS (ttm) $-0.93
EPS next yr $2.05
Forward P/E 13.24
EPS next 5yr 43.50%
1yr Price Support $89.17

Market Cap $3.40 Bil
Revenues $3.53 Bil
Earnings $-96.00 Mil
Profit Margin ---

Quick Ratio 1.00
Current Ratio 2.70
Debt/Equity 0.89
​
1yr RevGR 12.47%
3yr RevGR -5.79%
5yr RevGR -5.46%

1yr EarnGR ---
3yr EarnGR ---
5yr EarnGR ---

1yr DivGR ---
3yr DivGR ---
5yr DivGR ---

ROA -1.80%
ROE -6.20%


Zayo Group Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides bandwidth infrastructure solutions for the communications industry in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The company operates in six segments: Fiber Solutions, Transport, Enterprise Networks, Zayo Colocation (zColo), Allstream, and Other. The Fiber Solutions segment provides dark fiber, and fiber-to-the-tower and small cell mobile infrastructure services for carriers and other communication service providers, Internet service providers, wireless service providers, media and content companies, large enterprises, and other companies. The Transport segment offers lit bandwidth infrastructure solutions comprising wavelength, wholesale IP services, and SONET services through its metro, regional, and long-haul fiber networks for carriers, content providers, financial services companies, healthcare, government entities, education institutions, and other medium and large enterprises. The Enterprise Networks segment provides communication solutions, such as Ethernet, enterprise private and connectivity services, managed services, and cloud based compute and storage products to medium and large enterprises. The Zayo Colocation (zColo) segment offers data center infrastructure solutions, including colocation space, and power and interconnection services to a range of enterprise, carrier, cloud, and content customers. The Allstream segment provides Internet protocol (IP), Internet, voice, IP trunking, cloud private branch exchange, and collaboration services, as well as unified communications for small and medium business customers. The Other segment provides network and technical resources to customers in designing, acquiring, and maintaining their networks. Zayo Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Boulder, Colorado.
​(Summary) (Company) (Chart)
18 March 2018
Price $36.00
1yr Target $41.57
Analysts 14
Dividend $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.00%

1yr Cap Gain 15.47%
Yield 0.00%
1yr Tot Return 15.47%

P/E 69.50
PEG 1.70
Beta 0.49
​
EPS (ttm) $0.52
EPS next yr $0.56
Forward P/E 64.06
EPS next 5yr 40.80%
1yr Price Support $22.84

Market Cap $9.02 Bil
Revenues $2.49 Bil
Earnings $129.00 Mil
Profit Margin 5.18%

Quick Ratio 1.00
Current Ratio 1.00
Debt/Equity 3.74
​
1yr RevGR 27.77%
3yr RevGR ---
5yr RevGR ---

1yr EarnGR ---
3yr EarnGR ---
5yr EarnGR ---

1yr DivGR ---
3yr DivGR ---
5yr DivGR ---

ROA 1.00%
ROE 5.90%
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Ryerson Holding Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, processes and distributes industrial metals in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and China. The company offers a line of products in stainless steel, aluminum, carbon steel, and alloy steels, as well as nickel and red metals in various shapes and forms, including coils, sheets, rounds, hexagons, square and flat bars, plates, structural products, and tubing. It also provides various value-added processing and fabrication services, such as bending, beveling, blanking, blasting, burning, cutting-to-length, drilling, embossing, flattening, forming, grinding, laser cutting, machining, notching, painting, perforating, punching, rolling, sawing, scribing, shearing, slitting, stamping, tapping, threading, welding, or other techniques to process materials. The company serves various industries, including commercial ground transportation manufacturing, metal fabrication and machine shops, industrial machinery and equipment manufacturing, consumer durable equipment, HVAC manufacturing, construction equipment manufacturing, food processing and agricultural equipment manufacturing, and oil and gas. Ryerson Holding Corporation was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
​(Summary) (Company) (Chart)
18 March 2018
Price $9.30
1yr Target $11.81
Analysts 4
Dividend $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.00%

1yr Cap Gain 26.98%
Yield 0.00%
1yr Tot Return 26.98%

P/E 53.45
PEG 1.63
Beta 1.70
​
EPS (ttm) $0.17
EPS next yr $1.71
Forward P/E 5.44
EPS next 5yr 32.74%
1yr Price Support $55.98

Market Cap $346.04 Mil
Revenues $3.36 Bil
Earnings $6.50 Mil
Profit Margin 0.17%

Quick Ratio 1.20
Current Ratio 2.70
Debt/Equity ---

​
1yr RevGR 17.66%
3yr RevGR ---
5yr RevGR ---

1yr EarnGR -14.82%
3yr EarnGR ---
5yr EarnGR ---

1yr DivGR ---
3yr DivGR ---
5yr DivGR ---

ROA 1.00%
ROE -79.30%
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USA Truck, Inc., a truckload carrier, provides general commodities transportation services in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. It operates through two segments, Trucking and USAT Logistics. The Trucking segment offers truckload services as a medium to long-haul common carrier; and dedicated freight services. The USAT Logistics segment provides freight brokerage and rail intermodal services. As of December 31, 2017, the company's fleet consisted of 1,669 tractors, which included 247 independent contractor tractors; and 5,596 trailers. USA Truck, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Van Buren, Arkansas.
(Summary) (Company) (Chart)
18 March 2018
Price $25.96
1yr Target $29.50
Analysts 2
Dividend $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.00%

1yr Cap Gain 13.63%
Yield 0.00%
1yr Tot Return 13.63%

P/E ---
PEG ---
Beta 1.95
​
EPS (ttm) $-0.57
EPS next yr $2.25
Forward P/E 11.54
EPS next 5yr 27.60%
1yr Price Support $62.10

Market Cap $214.95 Mil
Revenues $446.50 Mil
Earnings $-4.50 Mil
Profit Margin ---

Quick Ratio 1.00
Current Ratio 1.00
Debt/Equity 1.55


1yr RevGR 4.06%
3yr RevGR -9.42%
5yr RevGR -2.72%

1yr EarnGR ---
3yr EarnGR 15.56%
5yr EarnGR ---

1yr DivGR ---
3yr DivGR ---
5yr DivGR ---

ROA 2.90%
ROE 13.50%
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1 Comment

Best Ideas 11 March 2018

3/11/2018

1 Comment

 
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Here's a couple of stock ideas I'm looking at for next week. These are companies I'll consider investing in with any funds that become available in my accounts. I believe each of these has a greater potential return than analysts currently expect. 

​As with all of my investments, I'll start with a small position and then add to that position over time through dividend reinvestment, the sale of stock options and direct purchases on the open market.
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Viking Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapies for metabolic and endocrine disorders. Its lead clinical program is VK5211, an orally available drug candidate, which is in a phase II clinical trials for acute rehabilitation following non-elective hip fracture surgery. The company also develops VK2809, an orally available, tissue, and receptor-subtype selective agonist of the thyroid beta receptor for the treatment of hypercholesterolemia and fatty liver disease, as well as for the orphan indication glycogen storage disease type Ia; and VK0214 for the treatment of orphan indication X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy, a rare X-linked, inherited neurological disorder. In addition, it develops VK0612, an orally available drug candidate for the treatment of type 2 diabetes; small molecule agonists of the erythropoietin receptor for the treatment of anemia; and tissue-selective inhibitors of diacylglycerol acyltransferase-1 for the treatment of obesity and dyslipidemia. Viking Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
​(Summary) (Company) (Chart)
11 March 2018
Price $5.80
1yr Target $8.13
Analysts 4
Dividend $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.00%

1yr Cap Gain %
Yield 0.00%
1yr Tot Return %

P/E ---
PEG ---
Beta ---


EPS (ttm) $-0.85
EPS next yr $-0.67
Forward P/E ---
EPS next 5yr 40.00%
1yr Price Support ---

Market Cap $258.33 Mil
Revenues ---
Earnings $-20.10 Mil
Profit Margin ---

Quick Ratio 1.20
Current Ratio 1.20
Debt/Equity 1.45


1yr RevGR ---
3yr RevGR ---
5yr RevGR ---

1yr EarnGR ---
3yr EarnGR ---
5yr EarnGR ---

1yr DivGR ---
3yr DivGR ---
5yr DivGR ---

ROA -144.30%
ROE -330.10%


Conatus Pharmaceuticals Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of novel medicines to treat liver diseases in the United States. Its product candidates include Emricasan, an orally active pan-caspase protease inhibitor that is in Phase IIb clinical trials for patients with portal hypertension; for liver function; for patients liver fibrosis caused by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis; and for post-orthotopic liver transplant as a result of hepatitis C virus infection with sustained viral response. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
(Summary) (Company) (Chart)
11 March 2018
Price $7.27
1yr Target $17.50
Analysts 6
Dividend $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.00%

1yr Cap Gain %
Yield 0.00%
1yr Tot Return %

P/E ---
PEG ---
Beta 1.32
​
EPS (ttm) $-0.82
EPS next yr $0.22
Forward P/E 32.75
EPS next 5yr 38.00%
1yr Price Support $

Market Cap $218.13 Mil
Revenues $27.40 Mil
Earnings $-22.20 Mil
Profit Margin %

Quick Ratio 2.70
Current Ratio 2.70
Debt/Equity 0.42
​
1yr RevGR ---
3yr RevGR ---
5yr RevGR ---

1yr EarnGR ---
3yr EarnGR ---
5yr EarnGR ---

1yr DivGR ---
3yr DivGR ---
5yr DivGR ---

ROA -25.00%
ROE -83.00%
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1 Comment
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    Dennis McCain

    Author

    I am an Individual Investor with specific interest in long term growth and then enhancing my returns with income from dividends and derivatives. I don't recommend stocks to anyone (it's a good way to lose friends) and no one reading this should misinterpret my blog as a recommendation for any type of investment. I am writing this solely for myself and my kids.

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